Armstrong leads governor’s race by wide margin, U.S. House race is much closer

FARGO (KVRR) – A poll by the North Dakota News Cooperative shows that Rep. Kelly Armstrong has overwhelming support in his bid for North Dakota governor in the June 11 primary.

Armstrong leads Lt. Gov. Tammy Miller, with 57% of the 500 people polled. Miller had the support of 19%, while 24% say they are still undecided. However, even if Miller could secure the undecided vote, it would not be enough to make up Armstrong’s 38-point lead.

Armstrong received large support from people who identified as strong Republicans, garnering 66% to Miller’s 16%. He led very conservative voters and moderates with more than 50% of the vote in those categories. Armstrong led by 10 points among those who identified as independents with 38%.

Armstrong, from Dickinson, saw a wider margin of support in western North Dakota over the east, posting a 43-point and 31-point lead, respectively, over Miller.

The U.S. House race isn’t so clear cut. North Dakota Public Service Commissioner Julie Fedorchak captured 32% of poll participants’ support, giving her a 7-point lead over former State Rep. Rick Becker of Bismarck.

Becker was favored by 25% of those polled. However, with 28% saying they were undecided, the Republican primary for the U.S. House seat is up for grabs.

The survey questioned 500 eligible North Dakota voters who say they are likely to vote in the Republican primary. The poll was conducted May 20-22, 2024, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4%.